April Report Cards

Posted by Baseball Bob at 14:05
May 012013

And now, the moment you’ve all been waiting for! Here is the “official” chart of April report cards. I did one internal check: all starting pitchers “deserved” a record of 394.75-391.25 which is a near as such a calculation can come to .500. All relievers score at 591/2270 which scores at C. Only the hitters doesn’t quite work, as they “deserve” a record of 355-430. But I think most fans would accept the premise that a team whose offense scored 3 or fewer runs “deserved” a loss. I credit 4 runs scored as 1/2 a win, and 5 or more as a win for the offense. What strikes me is that the reports that, for April, run scoring is up, are only partly right. What IS up is the number of high-scoring games. What is NOT up is the number of games that a team scores 4-5-6 runs, the range where you begin to expect a win.

Remember that (in theory) a C in two categories and a B in the other should result in a B overall. Not really, but that is the intent behind the metric: what would a team with THIS (offense, rotation, bullpen) do if it had an average team in all other respects. So a C+ offense, B- rotation, and C- bullpen (Yankees) yields an A overall result. Not the system’s finest hour, but not unreasonable, either. And other results are more reasonable: a C offense, F rotation and A+ bullpen (Twins) gives a C result. And if you factor in that the offensive ratings, given the math above, are a little low then the ratings work better than ever. Give every team a 1/3 grade increase (make a minus no tag, no tag into a plus, and bump a plus up a grade with a minus) and the numbers are more reasonable still.

The only adjustment to the offense ratings I can think of would be to make 4 runs scored 2/3 of a win or some such, and if the trend continues all year I will do that. But I think run scoring IS up a tick, and that warmer weather will see it come through.

Anyway, here are the results. Comments welcome, as always.

MLB Actual Hitters Starters Relievers
Team Wins Losses Grade Wins Losses Grade Wins Losses Grade Games Rating Grade
Arizona 15 12 B 11.50 15.50 D- 14.10 12.90 C+ 85 39 A+
Atlanta 17 9 A++ 13.50 12.50 C+ 14.00 12.00 B- 72 39 A++
Baltimore 16 11 A 17.00 10.00 A+ 10.00 17.00 F 78 33 A
Boston 18 8 A+++ 17.00 9.00 A++ 16.50 9.50 A+ 74 15 C-
Chicago Cubs 10 16 F 11.00 15.00 F 15.05 10.95 A- 78 23 B-
Chicago Sox 10 15 F 10.00 15.00 F 14.80 10.20 A 80 11 D
Cleveland 11 13 D 13.50 14.50 C- 11.05 12.95 D+ 68 18 C+
Cincinnati 15 13 B- 9.50 14.50 F 17.80 10.20 A++ 77 22 B-
Colorado 16 11 A 15.50 11.50 B+ 11.35 15.65 F 80 24 B-
Detroit 15 10 A 14.00 11.00 B+ 17.05 7.95 A+++ 69 10 D
Houston 8 19 F 10.00 17.00 F 9.10 17.90 F 76 6 F
Kansas City 14 10 A- 9.00 15.00 F 15.40 8.60 A++ 55 16 B-
suburb of LA 9 17 F 14.00 12.00 B- 7.90 18.10 F 86 4 F
Los Angeles 13 13 C 8.50 17.50 F 13.90 12.10 B- 83 13 D+
Miami 8 19 F 5.50 21.50 F 12.10 14.90 D 77 14 C-
Milwaukee 14 11 B+ 15.00 10.00 A 11.25 13.75 D 85 21 C
Minnesota 11 12 C- 11.50 11.50 C 8.30 14.70 F 65 26 A-
NY Mets 10 15 F 12.00 13.00 C- 12.55 12.45 C 93 12 D
NY Yankees 16 10 A+ 13.50 12.50 C+ 13.85 12.15 B- 62 13 C-
Oakland 16 12 B+ 17.00 11.00 A 12.30 15.70 D- 89 27 B-
Philadelphia 12 15 D 10.00 17.00 F 15.65 11.35 A- 67 7 D-
Pittsburgh 15 12 B 13.50 13.50 C 11.20 15.80 F 77 31 A-
San Diego 10 16 F 9.50 16.50 F 7.35 18.65 F 78 17 C
San Francisco 15 12 B 6.50 22.50 F 14.30 12.70 B- 83 35 A
Seattle 12 17 F 11.50 15.50 D- 15.40 13.60 B- 75 17 C
St. Louis 15 11 A- 11.50 14.50 D 17.80 8.20 A+++ 72 14 C-
Tampa Bay 12 14 D+ 11.50 14.50 D 14.25 11.75 B 69 12 D+
Texas 17 9 A++ 13.00 13.00 C 15.85 10.15 A 68 16 C
Toronto 10 17 F 9.50 17.50 F 9.60 17.40 F 83 21 C
Washington 13 14 C- 10.50 16.50 F 14.50 12.50 B- 66 15 C

2 Responses to “April Report Cards”

  1. Where?

    • They were there, I swear, when I posted. I don’t always look at the post afterwards, my error. I think they are there now, but I will check. Sorry about that!

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