Pittsburgh Pirates

Posted by Baseball Bob at 18:05
Feb 212011

Summary 57-105 F

Add a few minuses to that F, they need 11 more wins to be a D-. This team, which set a MLB record with their 19th straight losing season, did it in style: after winning their first two to take the division lead, they were 2 games over at 7-5, but then found their level, went 3-8 the rest of April and that made April their best month until September, when they went 12-15. There is not much hope that the streak will be broken in 2011. Want some “good” news? The Pirates won MORE games than their Pythagorean projection: that 57-105 record was “lucky”!

Hitters 46.5-115.5 F

This one needs more minuses still! They scored only 587 runs all year (3.62/G) and that is with a “big” September, as they were averaging only 3.46 through the end of August. They had only two batters rated as above average, 24-year-old secondbaseman Neil Walker and 23-year-old centerfielder Andrew McCutchen. The team WAS young, and a couple of other kids (Tabata and Alvarez) look like they can play, so there is SOME hope for the future, but not the near future.

Starters 65.5-96.5 F

On the pitching side (remembering that defense is included here) the only starters deserving of an even or better record were Ohlendorf (who was 1-11 in reality!) in 21 starts and McDonald in 11 starts. Charlie Morton, the youngest Pirate starter at 26 (no real kids here) was particularly notable as his 7.57 ERA (it is bad luck to have the ERA of a jetliner!) was a nifty ERA+ of 54.

Bullpen 81/517 C-

Here is the strength of the team. Meek, Hanrahan, Dotel and Lopez were all legitimately good, and this despite the fact that the bullpen threw 533 innings, a very high number, as the rotation threw only 863 innings, fewest by far in MLB (losing teams don’t have to pitch in the 9th on the road). As bad as their 57-105 record was, the bullpen brought it up by a number of games. An F bullpen and ordinary luck might have pushed this team down into 1962 Mets range.

Charts

Runs Times
<3 67
3 30
4 20
5 14
6 9
>6 22

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Batter PA OPS wOBA Grade
Garrett Jones 654 720 .314 C-
Andrew McCutchen 653 814 .363 B
Ronny Cedeno 502 675 .297 D
Neil Walker 469 811 .351 B-
Ryan Doumit 456 737 .326 C
Jose Tabata 441 746 .334 C
Lastings Milledge 412 712 .314 C-
Pedro Alvarez 386 787 .343 C+
Andy LaRoche 271 555 .252 F
Ryan Church 238 617 .273 F
Akinori Iwamura 229 535 .254 F
Delwyn Young 207 700 .307 D+
Bobby Crosby 189 592 .258 F
Jeff Clement 154 605 .255 F
Jason Jaramillo 97 434 .199 F

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Starter Games Innings ERA W/L Deserved
Paul Maholm 32 185.1 5.10 9 – 15 13.5 – 18.5
Zach Duke 29 158.2 5.72 8 – 15 10.5 – 18.5
Ross Ohlendorf 21 108.1 4.07 1 – 11 10.5 – 10.5
Jeff Karstens 19 107.1 4.78 3 – 10 8.75 – 10.25
Charlie Morton 17 79.2 7.57 2 – 12 5.25 – 11.75
Brian Burres 13 68.2 4.46 4 – 5 5.75 – 7.25
James McDonald 11 64.0 3.52 4 – 5 6.5 – 4.5
Brad Lincoln 9 50.2 6.57 1 – 4 1.5 – 7.5
Daniel McCutchen 9 43.0 6.49 2 – 5 2.75 – 6.25
Chris Jakubauskas 1 0.2 27.00 0 – 1 .25 – .75
Dana Eveland 1 5.0 5.40 0 – 1 .25 – .75

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Reliever G IP ERA Val Gr Effective Ineffective yikes YIKES!
Evan Meek 70 80.0 2.14 36 A+ 55 12 2 1
Joel Hanrahan 72 69.2 3.62 26 A+ 52 15 4 1
D. J. Carrasco 45 55.2 3.88 8 C+ 30 10 3 2
Octavio Dotel 41 40.0 4.28 12 A- 29 9 1 2
Javier Lopez 50 38.2 2.79 14 A- 33 15 2 0
Sean Gallagher 31 34.1 6.03 -8 F 14 13 3 1
Brendan Donnelly 38 30.2 5.58 2 D+ 22 13 2 1
Chan Ho Park 26 28.1 3.49 2 D+ 15 9 2 0
Daniel McCutchen 19 24.2 5.47 1 D+ 12 4 2 1
Wil Ledezma 27 19.2 6.86 -2 F 15 9 1 2
Jack Taschner 17 19.1 6.05 4 B 11 5 1 0
Chris Resop 22 19.0 1.89 12 A+ 17 5 0 0
Jeff Karstens 7 15.1 5.87 -2 F 3 3 1 0
Justin Thomas 12 13.0 6.23 -5 F 4 7 1 0
Steven Jackson 11 11.1 8.74 -4 F 5 4 1 1
Brian Burres 7 10.2 8.44 -3 F 3 2 2 0
Joe Martinez 5 8.2 3.12 -1 F 2 3 0 0
Brian Bass 4 7.1 12.27 -5 F 0 3 1 0
Chris Leroux 6 4.2 5.79 2 A 5 0 0 1
Dana Eveland 2 4.2 11.57 -2 F 1 0 0 1
Hayden Penn 3 2.1 30.86 -5 F 1 0 0 2
Brad Lincoln 2 2.0 9.00 -1 F 1 0 1 0

2 Responses to “Pittsburgh Pirates”

  1. Ohlendorf won arbitration with that 1-11 record! When does the curse of Barry Bonds talk start?

    • I thought at the time that the arbitration award was silly, but on seeing the metric played out, I can see where it came from. Ohlendorf was NOT a bad pitcher, at all. He just both got terrible run support AND was unlucky in how that run support matched up with his pitching AND was let down by his bullpen (4 of his 11 losses were blown saves or blown ties).

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