Washington Nationals

Posted by Baseball Bob at 18:07
Feb 212011

Season 69-93 D-

Who’d have guessed that Steven Strasburg would require in-season surgery, and the Nats would STILL not be rated F at the year’s end? Not I, that’s for darn sure. And in fact they were beefed: their RS/RA suggests they deserved to win 72 games, so they were unlucky in the bargain. Nationals Stadium (I still think they missed a bet by not naming it National Stadium) is a neutral park, so the numbers can be taken as they are. The Nats were in 2nd place at 10-9 on April 25, and played well for a while thereafter, actually getting to 5 games over .500 on May 13, being 20-15 and in second place, one game out. A 5-game losing streak put them back to even, and 6-6 over the next 12 saw them 52 games into the season and still 26-26, though now in third place, 4 games out. With Strasburg about to appear some even wondered if they could do better. No. June saw them go 8-19, and August was 11-15, and they slipped comfortably into last place and stayed there.

Hitters 64-98 F

I guess they deserve the plural on this heading: Adam Dunn, Ryan Zimmerman and Josh Willingham are all hitters. None of the other position players on the Nats deserve this title, though, and overall this team really doesn’t score very often. Mike Morse also hit well, in half a season. The other batters were truly awful: 3 full-time players had OPS+ in the seventies.

Rotation 77.75-84.25 C-

Livan Hernandez, their 35-year-old “ace” was a real ML pitcher. Until Strasburg, who made 12 phenomenal starts and then was shut down and had surgery which will likely cause him to miss all of 2011, there is not one other pitcher who even deserves the title “average”. This may be unfair, because the Nats defense was HORRIBLE and I am including defense in the run-prevention calculation. But in fact, none of the pitchers was good, but none was really horrible, either. Well, Jason Marquis was pretty horrible. The Nats starters were all poor, all the victims of poor defense, and all except Marquis (and Hernandez) were young, and could/should get better.

Bullpen 123/494 B

The bullpen, called on for greater-than-usual work due to the youth, inexperience and sucking of the rotation, actually rose to the challenge. Matt Capps pitched himself onto a contending team, and Tyler Clippard actually made me (and the Yankees one supposes) sorry that they traded him. Sean Burnett was good, and Joel Peralta was surprisingly good, given his track record. Overall the lack of hitting was overcome by decent pitching to produce a not-disastrous season. There is no hope in 2011, but in 2012 it is possible that the Nats will be respectable.

Charts

Runs Times
<3 58
3 20
4 21
5 17
6 13
>6 33

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Batter PA OPS wOBA Grade
Adam Dunn 648 892 .379 B+
Ryan Zimmerman 603 898 .389 A-
Nyjer Morgan 577 633 .287 D
Ian Desmond 574 700 .308 D+
Roger Bernadina 461 691 .311 D+
Josh Willingham 451 848 .378 B+
Ivan Rodriguez 421 641 .279 D-
Cristian Guzman 396 648 .287 D
Adam Kennedy 389 654 .303 D+
Mike Morse 293 871 .374 B
Willie Harris 262 653 .294 D
Alberto Gonzalez 198 578 .258 F
Wil Nieves 172 554 .241 F
Justin Maxwell 131 593 .279 D-
Danny Espinosa 112 724 .301 D
Wilson Ramos 82 710 .312 D+

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Starter Games Innings ERA W/L Deserved
Livan Hernandez 33 211.2 3.66 10 – 12 19 – 14
John Lannan 25 143.1 4.65 8 – 8 11 – 14
Craig Stammen 19 105.0 5.06 4 – 4 8.5 – 10.5
Luis Atilano 16 85.2 5.15 6 – 7 6.5 – 9.5
Scott Olsen 15 74.2 5.88 3 – 8 6.75 – 8.25
Jason Marquis 13 58.2 6.60 2 – 9 5.5 – 7.5
Stephen Strasburg 12 67.2 2.91 5 – 3 9.25 – 2.75
J.D. Martin 9 47.2 4.13 1 – 5 3.25 – 5.75
Jordan Zimmermann 7 31.0 4.94 1 – 2 3.25 – 3.75
Ross Detwiler 5 23.2 5.32 1 – 3 1.25 – 3.75
Yunesky Maya 5 26.0 5.88 0 – 3 1.5 – 3.5
Garrett Mock 1 3.1 5.40 0 – 0 .25 – .75
Matt Chico 1 5.0 3.60 0 – 0 .75 – .25
Miguel Batista 1 5.0 0.00 1 – 0 1 – 0

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Reliever G IP ERA Val Gr Effective Ineffective yikes YIKES!
Tyler Clippard 78 91.0 3.07 23 A- 57 12 5 4
Miguel Batista 57 77.2 3.94 7 C 36 15 4 2
Sean Burnett 73 62.2 2.14 29 A+ 52 19 2 0
Drew Storen 54 55.1 3.58 10 B- 35 15 2 2
Joel Peralta 39 48.2 2.02 21 A+ 30 9 0 0
Matt Capps 47 45.2 2.74 14 A- 34 6 7 0
Doug Slaten 49 40.2 3.10 2 D 28 17 3 1
Tyler Walker 24 35.1 3.57 12 A+ 19 3 2 0
Craig Stammen 16 23.0 5.48 1 D+ 10 3 3 0
Collin Balester 17 21.0 2.57 9 A+ 14 1 2 0
Brian Bruney 19 17.2 7.64 -8 F 9 3 7 0
Jesse English 7 7.0 3.86 1 C 4 3 0 0
Ross Detwiler 3 6.0 0.00 3 A+ 3 0 0 0
Scott Olsen 2 6.0 1.50 2 A+ 2 0 0 0
Joe Bisenius 5 4.2 9.64 -1 F 3 1 0 1
Jason Bergmann 4 2.1 15.43 -2 F 1 3 0 0

2 Responses to “Washington Nationals”

  1. We might see Strasburg this year

    • I think it unlikely, unless the Nats are against all odds in it late in the year. Why risk the franchise player, and hasten the day he gets to free agency?

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